ANALYSE – In asymmetric wars, it is not necessarily the great powers that win. The difficulties encountered by the United States and Russia are a reminder of this.
In February 2022, Vladimir Putin, by launching his forces, those of the former Red Army, to attack kyiv, thought he would seize Ukraine in a few days. Drive Volodymyr Zelensky from power, bring down the regime and force the young pro-Western democracy to return under the yoke of the Kremlin. Observing the balance of military power so unfavorable to Ukraine, the West did not think highly of the Ukrainian resistance at the time. Joe Biden even suggested that Zelensky be removed from the capital. More than five years later, the Ukrainians are still holding out and are even regaining small pieces of territory on the front.
In February 2026, Donald Trump, by sending his fighter planes to bomb the Iranian regime, with the help of Israel, thought he would see it fall and capitulate quickly. By assassinating the supreme guide Ali Khamenei, he dreamed of reproducing the example of Venezuela, a model of its kind, with the “decapitation” of the regime and the installation of a new president…
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