A survey carried out for i24NEWS reveals a slight but significant advantage of the opposition over Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition, while highlighting a tight competition for the post of prime minister. If legislative elections took place today, Likud would remain the leading political force in the country with 28 seats, but the bloc opposing the coalition would obtain a majority of 62 seats compared to 58 for the parties supporting the government.
According to the survey, the Yashar party would rise to second place with 18 seats, followed by the Beyahad party with 12 mandates. The Democrats would pick up 11 seats, while Israel Beiteinou, Otzma Yehudit and Shas would each get 9. United Torah Judaism would get 8 seats, the Joint List 7 and Raam 5. The Religious Zionist Party would narrowly cross the electoral threshold with 4 seats, while several groups, including the Reserves, the Economic Party and Blue and White, would remain outside the Knesset.
The poll also highlights a notable change in opinion regarding the role of Prime Minister. Asked about a duel between Benjamin Netanyahu and Gadi Eisenkot, the Israelis are divided exactly equally: 45% for each of the two men, while 10% believe that neither of them is suitable for the position. On the other hand, in a confrontation with former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, Netanyahu maintains a lead with 46% of support intentions against 39%, while 15% of those questioned do not choose either candidate.
The survey also looked at the perception of the military operation “Lion’s Roar” carried out in the context of tensions with Iran. A relative majority of 42% of those polled described the result as a “partial victory”, while 29% saw it as a “total failure”. Only 5% consider the operation a “total victory”, while 21% speak of a “partial failure”. The responses reveal a strong political polarization: coalition voters are mostly satisfied with the result, while those in the opposition consider it largely negative.
