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War in the Middle East: Faced with Iran, a Donald Trump uninhibited and guided by public opinion and markets

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Former French ambassador to the United States, Philippe Étienne, criticized Donald Trump’s recent ultimatum to Iran, calling his words “more than flowery” and far from diplomatic language. Trump’s message on his Truth Social network threatening to open the Strait of Hormuz or face hell was seen by Étienne as an attempt to pressure his adversaries.

Étienne explained that Trump’s actions must be viewed in light of the upcoming November elections in the US, where a potential loss of majority in the Senate and the House of Representatives could impact Trump’s party. Trump’s decision-making is influenced by public opinion and financial markets, according to Étienne.

In addition, Étienne noted that Trump’s style has become more uninhibited, surrounded by loyal supporters who may not challenge his decisions. Despite criticism of Trump’s behavior, Étienne refrained from labeling it as “madness.”

Trump’s reliance on instinct over formal decision-making processes has been demonstrated in his past orders, such as the operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Despite concerns raised by military advisors, Trump remains focused on his achievements in his eyes.

Overall, the analysis suggests that Trump’s behavior is unlikely to change significantly in the coming weeks, with a continued focus on his perception of success and a lack of open dissent from within his inner circle.