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War in Iran and Lebanon: rupture between Trump and Netanyahu… A new military escalation?

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War in Iran and Lebanon: rupture between Trump and Netanyahu… A new military escalation?

Exchanges of strikes between Iran and Israel have stopped and Donald Trump assures that an agreement can be concluded within “two to three days”. The maintenance of the incompatible positions of Tehran and Washington as well as certain ambitions of Israel, however, make this scenario difficult to maintain.

The essentials

  • ​​The war in Iran is again in a ceasefire phase this Tuesday, June 9 after the cessation of hostilities between Iran and Israel. Both countries, however, promised a more violent response in the event of further attacks. The resumption of strikes therefore remains a threat, especially since the Jewish state has affirmed that it is continuing its offensive against Hezbollah in Lebanon, an element which justified the Iranian strikes.
  • Negotiations to end the warare entering the final phase according to Donald Trump who assured this Tuesday that a “very, very good agreement” can be concluded within “two to three days” after “final efforts”. The American president maintains that the agreement will allow the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and will prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, without specifying the details which have been blocking points since the start of the negotiations. Iran opposing certain measures such as handing over its enriched uranium and adding others such as charging for the passage of ships through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The differences between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu also complicate an agreement. If the American president wishes to exit this war with an agreement ensuring certain guarantees, the Israeli leader is not inclined to negotiate with Iran and its allies like Hezbollah and aims for the destruction of the Islamic Republic. A divergence at the origin of tensions visible since the end of May between the two men.
  • The Strait of Hormuzis still blocked by Iran, even if the regime says it authorizes the transit of certain ships on which it imposes fees for “navigation services”, while denying the establishment of a toll. Donald Trump assures that the Strait will be reopened “immediately” after signing an agreement. By then, France and the United Kingdom have finalized operational planning for a mine clearance mission in the Strait of Hormuz.

And directly

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12:25 – Israel plans to continue its offensive against Hezbollah in Lebanon

After several exchanges of strikes on Monday, Iran and Israel announced the end of hostilities. The Jewish state, however, warned that it would respond “with force” in the event of a new Iranian attack. “Israel has the full right to self-defense and we exercise it – I say this with recognition and respect during my constructive talks with President Trump,” assured Benjamin Netanyahu in a video published on YouTube yesterday. He also indicated that he continued the Israeli offensive against Hezbollah, an ally of the Iranian regime, in Lebanon. This offensive was the reason given by Iran to justify its strikes on Israel.

11:15 – Trump wants an agreement, Netanyahu a “permanent state of war”

The relationship between President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is “deteriorating” according to a senior Israeli diplomat, Alon Pinkas, interviewed by CNN. “They are not even on the same wavelength at this point (…). It’s obvious to see the way in which Trump has been talking about Netanyahu for two weeks,” analyzes the former consul general of Israel in New York, in reference to the words of the American president to the Israeli leader after the threatened Israeli strikes on Beirut at the end of May and the attacks against Iran on Monday. The man believes that the two men no longer have the same objective at all: while Donald Trump wants to put an end to the war quickly with a view to the mid-term elections scheduled for the end of the year, Benyamin Netnayhou “needs to maintain a permanent state of war” also with a view to national elections according to Alon Pinkas.

10:49 – Trump and Netanyahu no longer pursue the same objectives with the war in Iran

Israel and the United States still have “some differences” to resolve on how to end the war in Iran, said the Israeli ambassador to the United States, Yechiel Leiter, speaking to CNN. If he assures that the two countries have “generally the same interests”, there are “here and there, some differences of opinion which must be ironed out” in particular on the objectives to be achieved to end the conflict. “If we can end this war by ensuring that Iran no longer has a nuclear weapons program, no more missiles program ballistic weapons capable of taking the world hostage and no longer supports its allies like Hamas and Hezbollah… Then the war will be won”, believes the ambassador, not mentioning the destruction of the Iranian regime and its allies sought by Benyamin Netanyahu. An objective which no longer pursues the American president due to the prolongation of the war which works against him among American citizens.

10:11 – Donald Trump talks about an agreement concluded within “two to three days”

American President Donald Trump affirmed early this Tuesday morning that American diplomacy is making “final efforts” to conclude a peace agreement with Iran to end the war in the Middle East. “We are in the final stages of what is going to be a very, very good agreement,” he said after attending an NBA game in New York. According to him, an agreement to be concluded within “two to three days”.

Donald Trump did not specify the outlines of the agreement, but he assured that the Strait of Hormuz will be reopened “immediately” after its signature. Concerning Iranian nuclear power, one of the main points of the negotiations, the head of state maintained that the terms of the agreement will “under no circumstances” allow Iran to acquire nuclear weapons “in any form whatsoever”.
 

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Learn more

The start of the war in Iran, launched by the United States and Israel

On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched a joint military strike operation on Iran. On the Israeli side, the operation is called “Roaring Lion”, on the American side “Epic Fury”. The objectives range from the overthrow of the regime to the weakening of the Iranian nuclear program, including the destruction of the military capabilities of the Islamic Republic, judged as a threat, in particular by Israel.

In addition to targeting the Iranian arsenal, the Israeli-American coalition will lead a campaign to eliminate Iranian leaders. A significant number of political figures from the regime were killed in the first hours of the conflict, including the supreme guide Ali Khamenei. His son Mojtaba Khamenei, who took over on March 8, 2026, was also targeted and his state of health will quickly become the subject of speculation.

Iran’s response and the contagion in Lebanon and the Middle East

From February 28, 2026, Iran responded to strikes by the United States and Israel, by launching hundreds of drones and ballistic missiles towards Israel and towards American military bases in the Gulf, Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

On the night of March 1 to 2, in response to the death of Ali Khamenei, Hezbollah, an ally of Iran, launched salvos of rockets and drones from Lebanon towards northern Israel. The Israeli army called this offensive an “official declaration of war” and launched a vast bombing campaign in Lebanon.

On March 2, 2026, Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, instantly blocking numerous cargo and oil ships, and suspending a significant portion of global oil traffic. The International Energy Agency called the shutdown “the largest supply disruption in history.”