What are the relationships between major powers – the United States, China, Russia, Europe – that will emerge from the war? Can China fear the outcome of the conflict or will it benefit from the new world balances? Will globalization, open trade survive? SWIFT closes but the risk of food insecurity seems to require the maintenance of a relatively open world. The silent weight of nuclear power, the widespread use of information technologies – particularly through civilian information – are they heralding a disruption of future confrontation rules? And Europe in all of this? Will it succeed in awakening in a world that opposes its brute strength to its commercial pacifism?
The war in Ukraine is overturning many reflexes from the last thirty years, even though it is considered provincial in much of the world. The world is busy with other issues: the presidential election in Brazil, the upcoming Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, the announced collapse of Lebanon, the struggle of Africans to regain a cultural memory erased by colonization – all issues also present in this issue of Foreign Policy.
WAR IN UKRAINE: A CHANGING WORLD? Ukraine War: A Korean model? by Pierre Grosser Global food insecurity and the war in Ukraine by Sébastien Abis and Diane Mordacq SWIFT: from neutrality to geopolitical weapon? by Alexis Collomb Ukraine: a nuclear era change by Jean-Louis Lozier Open Source Intelligence in the war in Ukraine by Sophie Perrot The European Union in a continent at war by Thierry Chopin and Christian Lequesne Germany’s defense policy: a historic turning point? by Hans Stark Ukraine War: a dilemma for Beijing by Marc Julienne Sovereignty in Vladimir Putin’s Russia by Bernard Chappedelaine
NEWS Brazil on the eve of the presidential election by Martine Droulers The 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party: the elusive renewal by Jérôme Doyon
REFERENCES Japan’s public debt: origin and sustainability by Quentin Simon
FREE PROPOSALS Lebanon, a battleground between Saudi Arabia and Iran by Nabil el Khoury The resurgence of movements for the return of African heritage by Ysé Auque-Pallez
