According to the latest data published by the Deep State analyst group, the pace of Russian advancement on the front in Ukraine continues to decline. In April, Russian forces only advanced by 141 km², compared to 160 in March – a decrease of 12% from the previous month, and 20% year-on-year.
Russian command, however, conducted nearly 5,100 assaults on the front in April, a 2.2% increase from March.
– Russian troops progressed by 53 km² in the Donetsk region, 44 km² in the Sumy oblast, and 31 km² in the Kharkiv region. – It now takes an average of 36 assaults in Moscow to capture an additional 1 km² of Ukrainian territory. – The Russian army would theoretically take two weeks of assault to capture the city of Kostiantynivka in Donetsk without conducting other offensives.
The limited progress of the Russian army in April appears to confirm the stalling of the spring offensive launched by Moscow on March 17. Military failures are forcing the command to reduce the number of operational sectors, while Ukrainian strikes on strategic infrastructure are impacting the army’s capabilities.
– Some Russian divisions have had to reduce their fuel consumption by 15-20%. – Putin’s advisor claimed that the military operation’s objectives would be achieved under all circumstances.
Despite this, Moscow has struggled to significantly advance towards Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, and encircle Kostiantynivka.
The Russian proposal for a ceasefire on May 9, Victory Day, likely aims to facilitate troop redeployment in Donetsk and Zaporizhia for potential new large-scale offensives.
