On April 9th, the French Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces, General Fabien Mandon, emphasized that an “open war” with Russia in three or four years posed a real risk that needed to be fully understood. The efforts being made by Vladimir Putin’s country to bolster its military strength were highlighted, projecting an increase in the number of soldiers to 1.9 million in a few years from the current 1.3 million, and an armored force with 7,000 heavy tanks instead of 4,000 by the end of the decade.
The evolving nature of warfare, especially in terms of technology and algorithms, has shifted towards a more hybrid form. The article raises questions about the new threats France needs to prepare for amidst cyberattacks, disinformation campaigns, and attacks on energy infrastructures, creating conditions for a subtle but persistent confrontation.
According to NATO scenarios, a high-intensity conflict on European soil could potentially be triggered by a Russian attack, even if limited, especially on the eastern flank. Cooperation with European allies is vital for the defense of the continent against such threats.
In a dangerous and unstable world, European military cohesion has become imperative, especially considering the ever-increasing global crises. The US-China conflict in the Gulf hints at the possibility of a large-scale conflict that could escalate beyond control, underscoring the need for preparedness.
The potential outbreak of a Third World War looms, fueled by China’s growing military power and imperial ambitions. The forced return of Taiwan under Chinese rule and escalating tensions underscore the fragility of the current global order. The breakdown of multilateralism, disregard for international law, and regional conflicts further heighten the risk of a widespread conflict that France and Europe must be ready to confront.
