The United States and Iran both claimed victory on Wednesday after agreeing to a two-week ceasefire in exchange for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Romuald Sciora warns that this truce may “cost a lot” for Donald Trump.
Published: 08/04/2026 09:33
Updated: 08/04/2026 09:34
Reading time: 2 min
/2026/04/08/69d62223d9935815537850.jpg "Cease")
“On seems to face a surrender of the United States,” analyzed Romuald Sciora, essayist and director of the Political and Geostrategic Observatory of the United States at the Institute of International and Strategic Relations (IRIS), after Donald Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire with Iran. The researcher believes that “we are probably witnessing the end of the war” and notes that “Donald Trump embarked on this war without any strategy.”
The White House tenant wanted to arrive “with a deal before the American people for the 250th anniversary of the United States,” according to Romuald Sciora, explaining that “for over two weeks now, he has desperately sought an escape route” and “tried to flatter the Iranians.” As the war dragged on, the American president was increasingly under pressure “from the American public opinion, mainly from Trump’s base, the Maga nation,” which, for the first time in 10 years, “showed signs of unease and began to turn away from its leader,” observes Romuald Sciora. “It will cost him dearly at the ballot box in November” during the mid-terms, warns the researcher. “It’s his war and he went against the advice of his vice president, Republican senators, and most Pentagon generals,” the specialist points out.
Thanks to the ceasefire agreement, Donald Trump has found “his way out,” according to the researcher: “The United States did not win this war,” the agreement is “like a victory for Iran.” The American president “will settle for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which was not actually closed a few weeks ago.”
Israel accepted the ceasefire agreement overnight from Tuesday to Wednesday, even though this war was “existential” for Benjamin Netanyahu: “It was his war, he dreamed of it since entering politics,” analyzes Romuald Sciora, but the Israeli Prime Minister “must comply with the directives of the White House,” he notes.
