The confrontation between the United States and Iran appears to be entering a decisive phase, centered on control of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s strategic energy infrastructure in Tehran. In this context, Washington has initiated a significant military deployment in the Middle East, while President Donald Trump has made multiple threats against the Iranian energy sector.
According to American and Israeli security sources, several thousand military personnel have been dispatched to the region, including around 4,500 sailors and Marines, accompanied by significant air and ground assets, including helicopters, F-35 fighter jets, and armored vehicles. The Pentagon is said to have also approved the sending of additional reinforcements from San Diego, indicating advanced operational readiness.
On the Israeli side, some officials describe a clearly offensive posture. One of them mentions the possibility of seizing strategic points, including the Kharg island, the main Iranian oil export hub. Such an operation would deal a severe blow to Tehran’s energy revenues and provide Washington with a major leverage in the regional power dynamics.
But this option carries heavy risks. Military experts warn of the complexity of such an operation, which could last for several weeks and expose American forces to various threats, such as naval mines, drones, or coastal attacks. Maintaining a secure maritime route in the long term would also pose a considerable logistical challenge, with potential immediate consequences on global energy markets.
Meanwhile, intelligence reports suggest instability at the top of the Iranian power structure. According to several sources, the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is reportedly injured, isolated, and difficult to reach. Despite this, the Revolutionary Guards and some religious leaders are said to continue exercising effective control over the country, ensuring continuity of power in a context of extreme tensions.
