Iran

On the 50th day of the conflict, despite persistent tensions between Washington and Tehran, a way out of the crisis could involve a diplomatic compromise similar to the one negotiated under Barack Obama, according to a political analyst.

According to Mr. Lavoie, there is no clear military solution to the conflict between Washington and Tehran: a resolution can only come through diplomacy and negotiation.

“All this for that,” this may be the hashtag we will use when there is peace that may eventually come,” said Guillaume Lavoie, a member associated with the Raoul-Dandurand Chair, on LCN radio on Saturday.

The analyst envisions a potential compromise in which Iran would agree to curb, or even halt, its regional military ambitions and nuclear development in exchange for economic benefits, such as easing sanctions, lifting trade restrictions, or unfreezing Iranian funds held in American-controlled institutions.

Mr. Lavoie also commented that even though Donald Trump claims an agreement with Iran is “very close,” the reality is that discussions will require time to reach a satisfactory understanding for both parties.

“The most credible scenario for the future is to return to a ceasefire agreement with more days to negotiate, but it feels like it’s difficult,” he stated.

Credibility at stake

Military operations in the United States would cost at least one billion dollars per day, notes Guillaume Lavoie, putting Donald Trump in a delicate situation.